Wednesday, September 19, 2012
Sunday, September 16, 2012
Lets start once again
Friday, August 28, 2009
FOREX STRATEGIES
There are probably as many Forex strategies as their are traders, but not all strategies and trading plans are created equal. I suggest that you find some strategies and then build a trading plan around them as discussed in the Trading Plans section. Here are some ideas for trading strategies:
Creating Strategies
I always encourage traders to develop their own strategies, time permitting. If time to develop ones owns strategies is not available, then some strategies are listed below. Their are several reasons why I believe it is important for traders to develop their own strategies. Firstly, developing strategies requires the traders develop a greater knowledge of the market and its price movements. Secondly, when one develops their own strategy they are tuned into how the strategy actually works, what will cause it not to work, and will be in a much better place to make adjustments when needed. Third, the less people trading a strategy the less likely that it will have swings due to the strategy falling in and out of favor. This problem often occurs with strategies that are widely known. When one creates their own strategy and it is used by only a handful of traders, the profitability of that work will likely last a long time. This is especially true in the case of day trading and short term trading.
How to Create a Strategy
This is time consuming part, but can also be fun. For me the real fun it testing out what I come up with in my time watching charts, but before we can test, we need an idea. How I generate ideas is by watching charts, both past and real-time. No matter what time frame I make my charts, I look for moves where there was good money to be made. Once I have found a move that looks profitable I start to ask myself questions about it:
-What precipitated the move?
-Was it a chart pattern, a candlestick pattern, a news event or certain time of day? These are samples of the questions you want to attempt to answer.
-Where could I enter?
-How could I have gotten into the trade?
-Looking at my answers from above, how could I take advantage of this opportunity in real-time?
-Does the pattern I am watching give an entry signal such as a break out of resistance/support/pattern, a certain amount of movement before it takes off, a certain time of day, a short term reversal pattern?
-Are there any indicators that aid in this?
-Does the currency pair generally stay within an average range for the day?
-Look for anything that would allow you to enter into the big move as it is happening.
-Where could I exit?
-This is very important - more important than the entry!
-What signals are present once the move has topped or bottomed and started to reverse?
-How can you stay in the move to capture the bulk of it, but also not give up too much profit when it reverses?
-Are there any indicators that aid in this?
-Would a trailing stop have allowed me to capture a large profit? If so, what should my trailing stop be?
-Would a fixed number profit target work (ie. if stop is $100, then profit target is $350)
-Does the currency pair generally stay within a certain percentage move for the day?
-Money management - is the trade worth taking?
-From the entry point you identify, what is your risk in dollars based on your position size?
-What is your potential profit?
-Based on the above two answers, was the trade worth taking? If the risk is too large, or you are getting into moves too late you will need to adjust. If you are giving up too much profit when prices reverse, you will also need to adjust.
-Other things to consider
-Does this signal you identify for entry occur at other times, and not just before large moves? I.e are you going to get a lot of false signals?
-Can you cut down on false signals by only trading a certain time of day, adding indicators, or pattern filters?
In short, you want to analyze your charts and look at then as opportunities. Then examine those opportunities and construct how you turn those opportunities into real money in your pocket, without exposing yourself to excessive risk. Once you have gone through several opportunities in this fashion you will be well on your way to making it a profitable strategy. See if the strategy worked on recent movements, and if it works on upcoming movements. If it does, then start testing it in real-time.
Creating Strategies
I always encourage traders to develop their own strategies, time permitting. If time to develop ones owns strategies is not available, then some strategies are listed below. Their are several reasons why I believe it is important for traders to develop their own strategies. Firstly, developing strategies requires the traders develop a greater knowledge of the market and its price movements. Secondly, when one develops their own strategy they are tuned into how the strategy actually works, what will cause it not to work, and will be in a much better place to make adjustments when needed. Third, the less people trading a strategy the less likely that it will have swings due to the strategy falling in and out of favor. This problem often occurs with strategies that are widely known. When one creates their own strategy and it is used by only a handful of traders, the profitability of that work will likely last a long time. This is especially true in the case of day trading and short term trading.
How to Create a Strategy
This is time consuming part, but can also be fun. For me the real fun it testing out what I come up with in my time watching charts, but before we can test, we need an idea. How I generate ideas is by watching charts, both past and real-time. No matter what time frame I make my charts, I look for moves where there was good money to be made. Once I have found a move that looks profitable I start to ask myself questions about it:
-What precipitated the move?
-Was it a chart pattern, a candlestick pattern, a news event or certain time of day? These are samples of the questions you want to attempt to answer.
-Where could I enter?
-How could I have gotten into the trade?
-Looking at my answers from above, how could I take advantage of this opportunity in real-time?
-Does the pattern I am watching give an entry signal such as a break out of resistance/support/pattern, a certain amount of movement before it takes off, a certain time of day, a short term reversal pattern?
-Are there any indicators that aid in this?
-Does the currency pair generally stay within an average range for the day?
-Look for anything that would allow you to enter into the big move as it is happening.
-Where could I exit?
-This is very important - more important than the entry!
-What signals are present once the move has topped or bottomed and started to reverse?
-How can you stay in the move to capture the bulk of it, but also not give up too much profit when it reverses?
-Are there any indicators that aid in this?
-Would a trailing stop have allowed me to capture a large profit? If so, what should my trailing stop be?
-Would a fixed number profit target work (ie. if stop is $100, then profit target is $350)
-Does the currency pair generally stay within a certain percentage move for the day?
-Money management - is the trade worth taking?
-From the entry point you identify, what is your risk in dollars based on your position size?
-What is your potential profit?
-Based on the above two answers, was the trade worth taking? If the risk is too large, or you are getting into moves too late you will need to adjust. If you are giving up too much profit when prices reverse, you will also need to adjust.
-Other things to consider
-Does this signal you identify for entry occur at other times, and not just before large moves? I.e are you going to get a lot of false signals?
-Can you cut down on false signals by only trading a certain time of day, adding indicators, or pattern filters?
In short, you want to analyze your charts and look at then as opportunities. Then examine those opportunities and construct how you turn those opportunities into real money in your pocket, without exposing yourself to excessive risk. Once you have gone through several opportunities in this fashion you will be well on your way to making it a profitable strategy. See if the strategy worked on recent movements, and if it works on upcoming movements. If it does, then start testing it in real-time.
FOREX TRADING BASIS
Learning about the currency trading basics can be like pulling teeth, right when you think its about to get better it gets worse, much worse. Just remember all you're really doing is trading money in one currency for money in another. You are just hoping that when you change it back its worth more than when you started.
We all know the value of the dollar is constantly changing. We hear this on the news that the value of the dollar is going up or going down. Currency trading can be a great part of a diversified portfolio for investing. Most people already know, or believe they know how the stock market works. However there are some distinctions between forex and stock or option trading.
To be successful at learning the currency trading basics otherwise known as forex, information is king. It has been said that the closer you are to the information the better the information it is. The major benefit of trading forex is this information you know about a given currency or other inside information can be used for your benefit.
In short you can be an insider trader and take advantage of it when you find out about a given event or nonevent as it so happens. With stocks, bonds, and options you cannot trade or influence others based on what is called "insider information" or information that is not yet public knowledge. In some cases in the forex markets facts may be leaked days before the information is made public.
Brokers for stock and options traders make money on commissions from each trade that you make. The commissions vary from broker to broker and can be much higher for a full service broker or broker-assisted trade. Commissions for currency trading for the brokers is much different in that they make the difference between the bid price and the ask price.
For a beginner trader forex trading may not be the best choice to learn without some training and a basic working knowledge of how it works. For technical analysis a trader, chart reading ability is a must. If you new to all of this there is hope to get started making more relatively fast if you have the proper training or a good mentor that can be there for you when you need help.
"It has been said that the most expensive advice is bad advice."
Finding a mentor that will teach you the currency trading basics will put you months and years ahead of others who try to learn on there own. Remember you don't want to be cheap in the market. When you buy cheap things what do you usually get? A heap of junk and you have to spend more money to fix the problem. Cost should not be your first consideration in any market. Instead look for the best value and the dividends will pay you fortunes.
One great place to find a good forex signal service is 1st FX Services. He has over ten years experience and has been trading for a living for 3 years. A lot of people claim to be great traders but they don't do it is a full time job, and make full time money consistently.
We all know the value of the dollar is constantly changing. We hear this on the news that the value of the dollar is going up or going down. Currency trading can be a great part of a diversified portfolio for investing. Most people already know, or believe they know how the stock market works. However there are some distinctions between forex and stock or option trading.
To be successful at learning the currency trading basics otherwise known as forex, information is king. It has been said that the closer you are to the information the better the information it is. The major benefit of trading forex is this information you know about a given currency or other inside information can be used for your benefit.
In short you can be an insider trader and take advantage of it when you find out about a given event or nonevent as it so happens. With stocks, bonds, and options you cannot trade or influence others based on what is called "insider information" or information that is not yet public knowledge. In some cases in the forex markets facts may be leaked days before the information is made public.
Brokers for stock and options traders make money on commissions from each trade that you make. The commissions vary from broker to broker and can be much higher for a full service broker or broker-assisted trade. Commissions for currency trading for the brokers is much different in that they make the difference between the bid price and the ask price.
For a beginner trader forex trading may not be the best choice to learn without some training and a basic working knowledge of how it works. For technical analysis a trader, chart reading ability is a must. If you new to all of this there is hope to get started making more relatively fast if you have the proper training or a good mentor that can be there for you when you need help.
"It has been said that the most expensive advice is bad advice."
Finding a mentor that will teach you the currency trading basics will put you months and years ahead of others who try to learn on there own. Remember you don't want to be cheap in the market. When you buy cheap things what do you usually get? A heap of junk and you have to spend more money to fix the problem. Cost should not be your first consideration in any market. Instead look for the best value and the dividends will pay you fortunes.
One great place to find a good forex signal service is 1st FX Services. He has over ten years experience and has been trading for a living for 3 years. A lot of people claim to be great traders but they don't do it is a full time job, and make full time money consistently.
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